I co-presented a workshop at SXSW last week on system dynamics, helping people get started, grasp the basics, and reach a point where they can follow up and start putting system dynamics into practice in their own work and life.
Up late but this was worth it. Thought-provoking. I lean to the side that it is always worthwhile to consider and assess. However, I also conclude that essentially no one gets it right. There is variability that moves hand-in-hand with complexity. While Nvidia provided the effective means to create a modeled world in videogames and EVERYONE KNEW you needed their graphics card to do high-end gaming -- they also became the only cost-effective means to mine BitCoin. All of this knowledge and EVERYONE missed the boat and did not realize the consequence of this specialized capability. NO ONE I know saw Nvidia as the irreplaceable component of AI, yet here we are. I heard a great report today that likened AI development as a war and Nvidia is the worlds only arms dealer :) I think this is consistent with the flying car scenario and the Jetsons. SXSW sounds like it was a blast.
Glad my essay sparked you to stay up late :-) No one ever gets it eactly right, but yes, SXSW was great! And relaxing and refreshing, a good mental reset.
Staying up late and your essay was a happy confluence. The best part of this dialog is misspelling exactly haha! My sense is on the big stuff there Is no shortage of analysis but almost everyone gets innovation wrong. It is cool to me that it is not predictable and that is why it is innovation!
I found this article truly fascinating. I have been writing a few pieces recently, and then I stopped. Never really considered why, just stopped.
I think a number of factors have come into play recently, but I hadn't contemplated can v's should. I do have imposter thoughts, and occasionally what's the point reasoning. I think these are reasons I am imposing on my excuses. My resistance to the inevitable change time and technology brings with them has transpired into a lack of effort...!!
Reading your warning / prophecy is a jolt. I very timely and apt jolt, one that is received with thanks.
I hope you keep writing. I have some what's-the-point-ism about hobbies like fiction writing, but also I simply enjoy creative writing for its own sake. Variety and diversity of opinions and views will be especially important if everyone starts to converge on a consensus worldview (which I think is a danger we do face).
“A strong risk culture in an organization adeptly navigates “can versus should” tradeoffs, considering not just short-term profit motives but long-term advantages and disadvantages for the company, its customers, the economy, society, and the planet.”
Really resonated with this one Stephanie. I’ve been thinking about this ‘can vs. should’ idea as well. How do we best design organizations and societies to be sustainable in a broad sense and achieve the things we actually value?
With limits of computation, we’ll have to think carefully about how we use it.
Perhaps with our newly free time, we’ll be able to actually engage in the democratic processes to make these decisions :)
Thanks, Jordan! I would love to live in a world with ample free time as long as humans still find good purpose and fulfillment. Increasing democracy would be a worthy goal.
Up late but this was worth it. Thought-provoking. I lean to the side that it is always worthwhile to consider and assess. However, I also conclude that essentially no one gets it right. There is variability that moves hand-in-hand with complexity. While Nvidia provided the effective means to create a modeled world in videogames and EVERYONE KNEW you needed their graphics card to do high-end gaming -- they also became the only cost-effective means to mine BitCoin. All of this knowledge and EVERYONE missed the boat and did not realize the consequence of this specialized capability. NO ONE I know saw Nvidia as the irreplaceable component of AI, yet here we are. I heard a great report today that likened AI development as a war and Nvidia is the worlds only arms dealer :) I think this is consistent with the flying car scenario and the Jetsons. SXSW sounds like it was a blast.
Glad my essay sparked you to stay up late :-) No one ever gets it eactly right, but yes, SXSW was great! And relaxing and refreshing, a good mental reset.
Staying up late and your essay was a happy confluence. The best part of this dialog is misspelling exactly haha! My sense is on the big stuff there Is no shortage of analysis but almost everyone gets innovation wrong. It is cool to me that it is not predictable and that is why it is innovation!
I found this article truly fascinating. I have been writing a few pieces recently, and then I stopped. Never really considered why, just stopped.
I think a number of factors have come into play recently, but I hadn't contemplated can v's should. I do have imposter thoughts, and occasionally what's the point reasoning. I think these are reasons I am imposing on my excuses. My resistance to the inevitable change time and technology brings with them has transpired into a lack of effort...!!
Reading your warning / prophecy is a jolt. I very timely and apt jolt, one that is received with thanks.
I hope you keep writing. I have some what's-the-point-ism about hobbies like fiction writing, but also I simply enjoy creative writing for its own sake. Variety and diversity of opinions and views will be especially important if everyone starts to converge on a consensus worldview (which I think is a danger we do face).
“A strong risk culture in an organization adeptly navigates “can versus should” tradeoffs, considering not just short-term profit motives but long-term advantages and disadvantages for the company, its customers, the economy, society, and the planet.”
Really resonated with this one Stephanie. I’ve been thinking about this ‘can vs. should’ idea as well. How do we best design organizations and societies to be sustainable in a broad sense and achieve the things we actually value?
With limits of computation, we’ll have to think carefully about how we use it.
Perhaps with our newly free time, we’ll be able to actually engage in the democratic processes to make these decisions :)
Thanks, Jordan! I would love to live in a world with ample free time as long as humans still find good purpose and fulfillment. Increasing democracy would be a worthy goal.